|
The rating with meaning.
|
||||||
My Ability-X ratings can make you a winner.
"Ability-X truly reflects a horses ability to run the distance... it is all that you need. "I said that. |
||||||
Physicality - The other half of the game. Results - AP 9/13/08 6 Lighthouse Judge 15.00
8.00 5.00 $2 Exacta $103.00
6-1
You can make money at the horse races without handicapping or having to learn anything about it, if you want. Play along with me, and my Ability-X ratings at Turfway Park. There, or online. I'll show you how to make $100 per day from horseracing using my "key" or "simple" pick. Get Ability-X for 30 days. For $29.95. You can just track it on paper. I'll send a copy by email every racing day. You get the Ebook "Using Ability-X Ratings", and 4 weeks of winning action For a change, you will get the results that you expect, a HorsePlayer education.
What could be more inspiring then walking into opening day at Keeneland with an understanding of the horses abilities? Only the world class competition that makes Keeneland's fall and spring meetings the twin showcases of North American racing. These are the events that can teach anyone the realities of horseracing that apply to any track in the in the world. Hat's off to the founders of Keeneland. Long may they run. |
My Ability-X ratings point out winners from $2.80 to $130.00, so far. They are deeply rooted in the true consistencies of horse racing. They can make any player, a better and more profitable player. They are not speed ratings, they can be played by the beginner as is, and they can take every mystery out of the game for anyone. That might sound like I am blowing a lot of sunshine... but I am a very demanding and critical person. I am most demanding and critical of my own work. It started out with the simple idea of having a numerical rating that could eliminate reference to past performances. In accomplishing that, Ability-X is actually composed of a "run" rating that does truly reflect a race horses ability to run. Along with that, there is an early speed rating that can be considered also. I've simplified it even more, by giving you the "key" horse, and the "simple" pick. Either one is a good bet to win any race. The chart is laid out from the highest early speed at the top to the lowest early speed at the bottom. Arlington Park, 9/13/08 9th - 6.5fD Par 340/94 Run# POST ErlSpd / ML / Comp 272
6 101 4.5 373 the "simple" pick Post position number, and Morning Line odds are included too. Those that are in navy blue are the 4 lowest Morning Line odds, or the four ML choices, from the favorite to the 4th choice. One of these will win 70% of the races this week, this year, and this decade. This is the number one consistency in horse racing. Ability-X, is the most accurate measurement of overall ability that could be made. It gives you everything that you need for making an intelligent bet on a horse, even if you are a total beginner. Where past performance handicapping can only give you vague clues of ability, Ability-X is the ability. You can bet on it. Even if you don't know anything about horse racing. Turfway Park 11/29/09 1st - 6fD Par 320/97 #/PST/ErlSpd /ML/Comp 317 10
98 3.5 415 $2 Exacta $247.40 10-7 Turfway Park 10/8/09 2nd - 8fD Par 200/90 #/PST/ErlSpd /ML/Comp 280 1 97 15
377 The vague, ambiguous nature of past performance handicapping is summed up in a descriptive phrase that you hear all of the time: "He's been running well lately", whatever that means in dollars and cents, that is as good as it gets. To develop an understanding of Ability-X ratings is to understand horse racing once and for all. No more mysteries, no more voodoo, no more good luck/bad luck, and no more losing streaks. Because you will be betting on the ultimate consistency of the game, a horse's ability to run a distance of ground. All else is gambling according to superstition. Is it difficult to understand Ability-X ratings? ... No, just look at the ratings for races that I have on this website, take notice that similar ratings win at particular distances consistently. That is it. You get a feel for what kind of run wins a particular distance and then you analyze according to that. The easiest way to start is with what I call the Ability-X No-Brainer. That is another horse in the race that has the same rating as the favorite. The other horse usually wins at higher odds, that is the truest No-Brainer. Your own study of why that is, and how that works is the easiest "real" education you can get for this great sport. I am always an email away, and the HorsePlayerU Forum is a great place to bring questions. There is only one rule to remember, Don't complicate. In the example above, if you took the fastest horse with a lower "run" rating then the favorite, you have a $15.00 winner in #6, taking the three fastest horses with the lowest rating on the chart would give you the exacta $103, and the trifecta $416. If you wanted to loosen up and let your No-Brainer horse do its thing, those four also won the superfecta $1,402. Who needs complexity? Oh yeah, I didn't look long for this example either, today is 9/13/08. I also posted the true No-Brainers on Ebay this morning, the 2nd race today at AP was the only true No-Brainer to win today, 1 out of 4 for $29.00. Ability-X is so good, that most people just plain don't believe it. It doesn't bother me, I can use the $29.00 No-Brainers as well as the next guy. Of course, there are plenty to go around too. After, 100 years of practice, it doesn't seem like the past performance handicappers will figure out horse racing very soon. Jon D. Luman - 9/13/08 Ability-X - Keeneland 10/03/2008 Friday - The horses are listed in order of early speed, and that is the rating on the right. The Ability-X rating is at left. First time starters or foreign shippers are listed in green and their ratings are notable at 150+.
Horse racing and different surfaces start to make a great deal of sense when you are able to see it through the horses ability to run. Jon D. Luman - 10/6/2008
|
|||||
